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How Are You Doing?

How Are You Doing?

From Jason Kottke at kottke.org
Sometimes having a tough time can make it difficult to determine just how tough a time you’re having. Using a chart like this can help you figure out where you are on the stress continuum (as long as you remember that everyone is different) and then seek out the proper kind of assistance. (via @TheRaDR)
Sometimes having a tough time can make it difficult to determine just how tough a time you’re having. Using a chart like this can help you figure out where you are on the stress continuum (as long as you remember that everyone is different) and then seek out the proper kind of assistance. (via @TheRaDR)

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How to Help a Friend Through a Tough Time

How to Help a Friend Through a Tough Time

From Jason Kottke at kottke.org
A year ago, before the pandemic set in, clinical psychologist Kathryn Gordon wrote a piece for Vox on how to help people that you know through a tough time. You may have seen similar advice before — e.g. How Do You Help a Grieving Friend? — but now seems like a good time for a refresher. Here’s one of Gordon’s four tips on how to help: Ask them how they are feeling. Then, listen non-judgmentally to their response. The simple act of asking someone how they’re doing, with an open-ended question, shows that you care. Listen attentively rather than interrupting or offering your opinion. Ask simple follow-up questions like, “What does that feel like?” or “What has been on your mind as you’re going through this?” This communicates that you genuinely want to know how they’re doing and feel comfortable hearing the truth.
A year ago, before the pandemic set in, clinical psychologist Kathryn Gordon wrote a piece for Vox on how to help people that you know through a tough time. You may have seen similar advice before — e.g. How Do You Help a Grieving Friend? — but now seems like a good time for a refresher. Here’s one of Gordon’s four tips on how to help: Ask them how they are feeling. Then, listen non-judgmentally to their response. The simple act of asking someone how they’re doing, with an open-ended question, shows that you care. Listen attentively rather than interrupting or offering your opinion. Ask simple follow-up questions like, “What does that feel like?” or “What has been on your mind as you’re going through this?” This communicates that you genuinely want to know how they’re doing and feel comfortable hearing the truth.

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There is no finish line

There is no finish line

From Austin Kleon at Austin Kleon
The pandemic is a marathon without a finish line.” In an article about what teleoanticipation (“teleo,” from the Greek, meaning end, goal, or purpose) can teach us about these COVID days, Alex Hutchinson writes: It turns out that, if you ask yourself “Can I keep going?” rather than “Can I make it to the finish?” you’re far more likely to answer in the affirmative.
The pandemic is a marathon without a finish line.” In an article about what teleoanticipation (“teleo,” from the Greek, meaning end, goal, or purpose) can teach us about these COVID days, Alex Hutchinson writes: It turns out that, if you ask yourself “Can I keep going?” rather than “Can I make it to the finish?” you’re far more likely to answer in the affirmative.

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Toward a short history of Operation Warp Speed

Toward a short history of Operation Warp Speed

From Tyler Cowen at Marginal Revolution
This will go down in history as one of science and medical research's greatest achievements. Perhaps the most impressive.I put together a preliminary timeline of some key milestones to show how several years of work were compressed into months. pic.twitter.com/BPcaZwDFkl
This will go down in history as one of science and medical research's greatest achievements. Perhaps the most impressive.I put together a preliminary timeline of some key milestones to show how several years of work were compressed into months. pic.twitter.com/BPcaZwDFkl

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San Francisco and San Mateo land in purple tier, curfew to start Monday night

San Francisco and San Mateo land in purple tier, curfew to start Monday night

From at ""san mateo" " - Google News
California kicked San Francisco and San Mateo counties to the most restrictive purple tier in its coronavirus economic blueprint on Saturday, forcing most indoor activities to close by noon Sunday and placing the counties’ residents under curfew starting Monday night. San Francisco and San Mateo join six Bay Area counties that are already in the purple tier, leaving only Marin County at a less restrictive level. The retreat — coming amid an alarming surge in coronavirus cases — will end all indoor dining in the Bay Area. San Francisco had already stopped allowing indoor dining; San Mateo County had been the last holdout in the Bay Area.
California kicked San Francisco and San Mateo counties to the most restrictive purple tier in its coronavirus economic blueprint on Saturday, forcing most indoor activities to close by noon Sunday and placing the counties’ residents under curfew starting Monday night. San Francisco and San Mateo join six Bay Area counties that are already in the purple tier, leaving only Marin County at a less restrictive level. The retreat — coming amid an alarming surge in coronavirus cases — will end all indoor dining in the Bay Area. San Francisco had already stopped allowing indoor dining; San Mateo County had been the last holdout in the Bay Area.

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Two Key Economic Dates in December

Two Key Economic Dates in December

From Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk
Congress and the White House have until Dec. 11 to approve new spending legislation to prevent the federal government from shutting down in the middle of a pandemic and amid a surge in coronavirus cases. Meadows said he was hopeful an agreement would be reached but did not rule out that an impasse. There has already been two government shutdowns during President Trump’s four years in office, one lasting more than a month.It is possible that there will be a shutdown from December 12th through January 20th. This would eclipse the previous longest government shutdown of 35 days in 2018-2019.
PUA is not payable for any week of unemployment ending after December 31, 2020. Accordingly, in states where the week of unemployment ends on a Saturday, the last week that PUA may be paid is the week ending December 26, 2020. For states where the week of unemployment ends on a Sunday, the last week that PUA is payable is the week ending December 27, 2020.As of October 31st, in the most recent report (lags weekly claims), there were 8.7 million receiving PUA benefits (there are questions about these numbers).

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Oxford-AstraZeneca’s Covid-19 Vaccine Up to 90% Effective

Oxford-AstraZeneca’s Covid-19 Vaccine Up to 90% Effective

From Jason Kottke at kottke.org
Preliminary results from the trials of the Covid-19 vaccine jointly developed by the University of Oxford and AstraZeneca indicate that the vaccine’s overall efficacy is 70% but that a regimen that calls for a lower first dose is 90% effective. The preliminary results on the AstraZeneca vaccine were based on a total of 131 Covid-19 cases in a study involving 11,363 participants. The findings were perplexing. Two full doses of the vaccine appeared to be only 62% effective at preventing disease, while a half dose, followed by a full dose, was about 90% effective. That latter analysis was conducted on a small subset of the study participants, only 2,741.
The seemingly lower efficacy comes with some perhaps significant benefits: this vaccine is cheaper to produce and doesn’t require any special refrigeration. The vaccine can be transported under “normal refrigerated conditions” of 2 to 8 degrees Celsius (36 to 46 degrees Fahrenheit), AstraZeneca said. By comparison, Pfizer plans to distribute its vaccine using specially designed “thermal shippers” that use dry ice to maintain temperatures of minus-70 degrees Celsius (minus-94 degrees Fahrenheit).

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Lafayette Square makes maiden investment (alongside Facebook) in housing disruptor

Lafayette Square makes maiden investment (alongside Facebook) in housing disruptor

From at ""san mateo" affordable housing" - Google News
To date, Factory_OS has built nearly 1,000 units—including supportive, affordable, student and market-rate housing developments—in the Bay Area, currently the most expensive housing market in the U.S. Besides driving down production costs by 20% to 40%, Factory_OS can erect a 100-unit apartment building in less than 10 days, delivering housing over 40% faster than conventional construction can. The company expects to cut costs by 50% over the next year as its partnership with engineering software maker Autodesk enables it to further integrate its design, technology and construction processes. That cost savings doubles the amount of housing that Factory_OS can create with the same investment.
Working with the established production ecosystem to drive efficiency, quality and equity across the board is core to Factory_OS’s approach. “By retooling multifamily housing production from beginning to end, we’re supporting everyone involved with construction—architects, engineers, general contractors, union workers—to do what they do faster and more efficiently,” said Rick Holliday, CEO of Factory_OS. “We aim to have an impact on housing costs that goes beyond construction, so we’re also engaging with policy and finance players to create a comprehensive framework that everyone can benefit from.”

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The death curve is going vertical

The death curve is going vertical

From Tyler Cowen at Marginal Revolution

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San Mateo height limit measure pulls ahead — barely

San Mateo height limit measure pulls ahead — barely

From at ""san mateo" affordable housing" - Google News
A ballot measure that would extend the city of San Mateo’s height and density limits for another 10 years is now passing, a mere 10 votes ahead but with only 200 ballots left to count in the whole county.Measure Y is a 10-year continuation of a measure first passed in 1991 to limit heights in most parts of the city to 55 feet and 50-unit-per acre density while requiring at least 10% of housing developments be affordable. On election night, it was about a percentage point behind, and slowly climbed as more ballots were counted. With 50% needed to pass, Measure Y is now up 50.01% with 22,892 votes in favor to 49.99% with 22,882 votes against.
A ballot measure that would extend the city of San Mateo’s height and density limits for another 10 years is now passing, a mere 10 votes ahead but with only 200 ballots left to count in the whole county.Measure Y is a 10-year continuation of a measure first passed in 1991 to limit heights in most parts of the city to 55 feet and 50-unit-per acre density while requiring at least 10% of housing developments be affordable. On election night, it was about a percentage point behind, and slowly climbed as more ballots were counted. With 50% needed to pass, Measure Y is now up 50.01% with 22,892 votes in favor to 49.99% with 22,882 votes against.

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Preliminary Results: Moderna Covid-19 Vaccine Is 94.5% Effective

Preliminary Results: Moderna Covid-19 Vaccine Is 94.5% Effective

From Jason Kottke at kottke.org
The drugmaker Moderna announced on Monday that its coronavirus vaccine was 94.5 percent effective, based on an early look at the results from its large, continuing study. Researchers said the results were better than they had dared to imagine. But the vaccine will not be widely available for months, probably not until spring.
Researchers say the positive results from Pfizer and Moderna bode well for other vaccines, because all of the candidates being tested aim at the same target - the so-called spike protein on the coronavirus that it uses to invade human cells. It’s only a few more months — please please do what you can to stay safe and keep others safe (especially medical workers) until these vaccines can be rolled out.

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San Francisco Reverts To 'Red' Tier; Five Bay Area Counties Slide Back to 'Purple' As COVID Cases Proliferate

San Francisco Reverts To 'Red' Tier; Five Bay Area Counties Slide Back to 'Purple' As COVID Cases Proliferate

From Jay Barmann at SFist - San Francisco News, Restaurants, Events, & Sports
As of Monday, San Francisco and San Mateo counties are sliding back to the "Red" tier — with San Francisco sliding two tiers from the least restrictive "Yellow" tier, where the city has been for over a month. The slide backwards is likely to prompt city officials to further restrict business activities, though those announcements haven't arrived.
Newsom hinted that a statewide curfew is being assessed, but that's not being announced just yet. He pointed to two states that already have curfews, including alcohol-related curfews, Massachusetts and Virginia.

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Redwood Shores neighbors worried by hotel purchase | Local News

Redwood Shores neighbors worried by hotel purchase | Local News

From at ""san mateo" affordable housing" - Google News
During the meeting, Sue Nix, the president of the Redwood Shores Community Association, said residents would have liked to have been engaged on the matter and raised concerns the neighborhood would not be fit for such a facility, a concern echoed by other residents during the supervisors’ meeting and a Redwood City Council meeting Nov. 9. “I know that there is a great need throughout California, San Mateo County very much included, as far as housing,” said Nix. “Redwood Shores is an area that unfortunately, [that doesn’t] have many services. … We get what we get when we get it.”
Community concerns emerged following an announcement the state had awarded the county a $33 million grant as part of its Project Homekey initiative. The $600 million program, which aims to provide permanent shelter to homeless residents or those at risk of becoming homelessness, evolved from the state’s COVID-driven Project Roomkey program. Throughout the pandemic, the county has regularly provided shelter to more than 180 unhoused residents, costing roughly $1 million per month. Project Homekey allows the county to purchase two hotels, TownePlace Suites Hotel in Redwood Shores and Pacific Inn along El Camino Real in Redwood City, which would make available 170 affordable housing units.

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Toward a universal medical test?

Toward a universal medical test?

From Tyler Cowen at Marginal Revolution
UC San Francisco scientists have developed a single clinical laboratory test capable of zeroing in on the microbial miscreant afflicting a patient in as little as six hours – irrespective of what body fluid is sampled, the type or species of infectious agent, or whether physicians start out with any clue as to what the culprit may be.
The advance here is that we can detect any infection from any body fluid, without special handling or processing for each distinct body fluid,” said study corresponding author Charles Chiu, MD, PhD, a professor in the UCSF Department of Laboratory Medicine and director of the UCSF-Abbott Viral Diagnostics and Discovery Center.

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Explosion damages homes on Nantucket https://t.co/NsfkR31I5C via @BostonGlobe

Explosion damages homes on Nantucket https://t.co/NsfkR31I5C via @BostonGlobe

From Dave Epstein (@growingwisdom) at (nantucket) min_faves:5 min_retweets:2 lang:en Twitter Alert with Links
firefighters were battling a fire at 11 Woodbury Lane “after a reported explosion that was heard all over the island.”“There is at least one other home that is affected by the resulting explosion/fire and numerous houses with damage caused by the explosion, including blown out windows," Pittman said in an e-mail to the Globe. “The neighborhood has been evacuated. The cause of the explosion/fire is unknown at this time.”
One man was rescued from the home and was taken to the Nantucket Cottage Hospital.

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It’s Still Early Days. But Pfizer’s Stunning Vaccine Results Could Be a Real Game-Changer

It’s Still Early Days. But Pfizer’s Stunning Vaccine Results Could Be a Real Game-Changer

From Jeffrey S. Flier at Quillette
With COVID-19 cases surging in the United States and many other countries, Monday’s announcement that ongoing vaccine tests had produced positive results comes as much-needed good news. In a placebo-controlled trial of 43,538 subjects, a vaccine developed by Pfizer, working with the German company BioNTech, was found to be “more than 90% effective in preventing COVID-19 in participants without evidence of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection.”
Pfizer officials added that they “will continue to collect further data as the trial continues to enroll for a final analysis planned when a total of 164 confirmed COVID-19 cases have accrued”; that the monitoring committee had “not reported any serious safety concerns”; and that “based on current projections, we expect to produce globally up to 50 million vaccine doses in 2020 and up to 1.3 billion doses in 2021.”

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Prop 15 Goes Down By Narrow Margin as CA Voters Are Reluctant to Tax Businesses In a Pandemic

Prop 15 Goes Down By Narrow Margin as CA Voters Are Reluctant to Tax Businesses In a Pandemic

From Jay Barmann at SFist - San Francisco News, Restaurants, Events, & Sports
After still looking too close to call last week, after Election Day, Prop 15 now has 51.8% "no" votes. With 1.48 million ballots still being tallied, as the Chronicle reports, two-thirds of those would need to be "yes" votes for it to still pass, and that is looking highly unlikely. So far, about three million fewer Californians voted "yes" on the measure than voted for Joe Biden — seven million, compared to 10 million who voted for the President-Elect.
To be clear, Prop 15 would only have impacted businesses in the state that own property that's worth over $3 million combined, and have more than 50 employees. The change to 1978's Prop 13 — which assesses all property based on its original purchase price and taxes it at rate that rises with inflation or by 2% each year, whichever is less — would have exempted small businesses and agricultural land, but all other commercial property would have to pay taxes based on current market value, raising more money for education across the state.

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America Has Serious Problems. It’s Time to Stop Blaming Them on ‘Trumpism’

America Has Serious Problems. It’s Time to Stop Blaming Them on ‘Trumpism’

From Quillette Magazine at Quillette
Back in February, long-shot Democratic presidential aspirant Andrew Yang would sometimes be asked why he didn’t bash Trump—or even mention him prominently—in his campaign speeches. At his New Hampshire campaign events (some of them documented for Quillette at the time), he would explain that no matter what happened to Trump in 2020, the conditions that led to his election in 2016 would still need fixing. And no, he did not mean America’s “unique brand of ugliness” or some other secularized formulation of original sin. Rather, Yang was referring to the complex set of factors that had led to large sections of the middle class watching steady jobs and comfortable lives get upended by automation, outsourcing, and the consequent decline of unionized manufacturing. When Trump was elected in 2016, Yang told one Nashua, N.H. crowd, “I said, ‘Oh my gosh, tens of millions of our fellow Americans decided to take a bet on this narcissist reality TV star’… So I started looking for an explanation as to why Donald Trump won. And you all know all the explanations—racism, Russia, the electoral college, Hillary Clinton, low turnout, sexism. [But] I’m a numbers guy. So I looked through the numbers for an explanation. And I found one: We eliminated over four million manufacturing jobs in this country… And where were those jobs? Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Missouri, Iowa… There’s a straight line between the adoption of industrial automation in a voting area and the movement to Trump.”
And so pretending that America can simply be healed by curing some fictional disease called Trumpism isn’t just wrong, it’s counterproductive, because as we are already seeing, these rites of political exorcism inevitably will mean doubling down on race hustling and hashtag hectoring instead of actually addressing the problems that led to the rise of Trump (and Bernie Sanders, for that matter).

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Initial Data Shows Covid-19 Vaccine Is More than 90% Effective

Initial Data Shows Covid-19 Vaccine Is More than 90% Effective

From Jason Kottke at kottke.org
In a press release (and not a paper in a peer-reviewed journal) based on a preliminary outside review of data from its phase 3 trial, Pfizer says its Covid-19 vaccine was more than 90% effective in preventing the disease. The company said that the analysis found that the vaccine was more than 90 percent effective in preventing the disease among trial volunteers who had no evidence of prior coronavirus infection.
In a press release (and not a paper in a peer-reviewed journal) based on a preliminary outside review of data from its phase 3 trial, Pfizer says its Covid-19 vaccine was more than 90% effective in preventing the disease. The company said that the analysis found that the vaccine was more than 90 percent effective in preventing the disease among trial volunteers who had no evidence of prior coronavirus infection.

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Critical thinking and empathy as a way forward

Critical thinking and empathy as a way forward

San Mateo city communications director urging the public to find a way forward after the election that left her feeling “confused, infuriated and apathetic”. Huh?
From at ""san mateo" " - Google News
We can push back against the tendency to fear what we don’t understand or demean with what we disagree. To not would be giving in to the rhetoric of extremist politics. There is a middle ground and we all need to accept that there’s enough people in our country with views that differ from our own — however misguided we may think they are. We have to recognize that compromise is a necessity to unification.So while I still find myself confused, infuriated, bordering apathetic and fending against hopelessness following the election, I firmly believe there’s a path forward. It has to start local with an eye for broader action.
There is a path forward; and we’re only truly lost when we stop looking.Samantha Weigel is the communications manager for the city of San Mateo and a former reporter for the San Mateo Daily Journal.

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Monday morning quarterbacking on local election | Columnists

Monday morning quarterbacking on local election | Columnists

Measure Y was strongly supported by incumbents. Glad to see it defeated.
From at ""san mateo" " - Google News
In my hometown of San Mateo what I thought would happen, did not. I was certain Measure Y, the height limit initiative which had been popular with voters for 30 years, would overwhelmingly pass. As of this writing it has not yet received the necessary majority. There were Yes on Y signs wherever I went and they had, as always, a magnificent grassroots campaign. Door-to-door newsletters in most neighborhoods. Support from almost all neighborhood association leaders. An amazing list of endorsements from friends and neighbors. But times have changed and many voters were convinced by the challenging initiative, R, which also failed to gain a majority, that Y was not good for the environment or for the future of the city. So now it may be up to the General Plan to decide where and what gets built, the outcome all members of the City Council preferred. Was the Bohannon organization, which sponsored Measure R along with several housing and environmental groups, hurt by the outcome? Not really. They just didn’t want Measure Y to pass. And the measure which, if passed, would have been a body blow was Proposition 15, the change to Proposition 13 to allow business property to be assessed at regular intervals failed. The Bohannon-owned Hillsdale Shopping Center, a longtime property owner, would have had to ante up
In my hometown of San Mateo what I thought would happen, did not. I was certain Measure Y, the height limit initiative which had been popular with voters for 30 years, would overwhelmingly pass. As of this writing it has not yet received the necessary majority. There were Yes on Y signs wherever I went and they had, as always, a magnificent grassroots campaign. Door-to-door newsletters in most neighborhoods. Support from almost all neighborhood association leaders. An amazing list of endorsements from friends and neighbors. But times have changed and many voters were convinced by the challenging initiative, R, which also failed to gain a majority, that Y was not good for the environment or for the future of the city. So now it may be up to the General Plan to decide where and what gets built, the outcome all members of the City Council preferred. Was the Bohannon organization, which sponsored Measure R along with several housing and environmental groups, hurt by the outcome? Not really. They just didn’t want Measure Y to pass. And the measure which, if passed, would have been a body blow was Proposition 15, the change to Proposition 13 to allow business property to be assessed at regular intervals failed. The Bohannon-owned Hillsdale Shopping Center, a longtime property owner, would have had to ante up

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Monday morning quarterbacking on local election | Columnists

Monday morning quarterbacking on local election | Columnists

Measure Y was strongly supported by incumbents. Glad to see it defeated.
From at ""san mateo" " - Google News

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Red Sox To Hire Alex Cora As Manager

Red Sox To Hire Alex Cora As Manager

From Anthony Franco at Boston Red Sox – MLB Trade Rumors
The Red Sox are bringing back Alex Cora as manager, reports Jon Heyman of MLB Network (Twitter link). He’ll return to the position he occupied from 2018-19 in a move anticipated by many for quite some time. Cora and the organization parted ways in January after commissioner Rob Manfred implicated him as an architect of the Astros’ 2017 sign-stealing scheme. Manfred later handed Cora a suspension through the end of the 2020 postseason for his integral role in Houston’s transgressions.
The Red Sox are bringing back Alex Cora as manager, reports Jon Heyman of MLB Network (Twitter link). He’ll return to the position he occupied from 2018-19 in a move anticipated by many for quite some time. Cora and the organization parted ways in January after commissioner Rob Manfred implicated him as an architect of the Astros’ 2017 sign-stealing scheme. Manfred later handed Cora a suspension through the end of the 2020 postseason for his integral role in Houston’s transgressions.

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Lyme disease cases spiking on Nantucket this year

Lyme disease cases spiking on Nantucket this year

From at "nantucket coronavirus" - Google News
Nantucket has already seen more cases of Lyme disease this year than were reported all of last year. There have been 140 confirmed cases through the end of September, compared to 58 during the same time last year, a 143 percent increase. There were 93 total cases in 2019.
There was also increased public use of the island’s open spaces, as people walked and biked when much of the downtown area was shut down and stay-at-home advisories were in effect. The trend continued in the summer with an abundance of sunny days, she said.  Deer are essential in the life cycle of the blacklegged tick (also known as the deer tick) that carries Lyme disease. Although the ticks  feed on smaller mammals like rodents, in order to obtain the protein necessary for laying eggs, they must find a more substantial “blood meal,” and in the majority of cases, deer are the perfect host. Wherever you see deer on-island, there is a good chance ticks will be there as well.

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More businesses set to reopen as some restrictions are lifted for San Mateo County

More businesses set to reopen as some restrictions are lifted for San Mateo County

From at ""san mateo" " - Google News
Four counties in the greater Bay Area moved into a less-restrictive coronavirus reopening tier Tuesday, allowing them to reopen more businesses and expand indoor operations for already-open businesses like restaurants and religious facilities.Contra Costa, Marin, San Mateo and Santa Cruz counties all moved from Tier 2, the red tier, to Tier 3, the orange tier, in the state's four-tiered reopening system following decreases in their testing positivity rates and their rates of new cases.
In many cases, all four counties will be able to expand the maximum capacity of indoor businesses from 25% to 50% or 200 people, whichever is fewer.Gyms, fitness centers and hotels will also be allowed to reopen indoor pools, while gyms themselves can increase their capacity from 10% to 25% of their maximum occupancy.Moving into the orange tier also allows multiple sectors like offices, cardrooms, bowling alleys, climbing walls and wineries to resume operating inside with caps on capacity. Bars, breweries and distilleries at which food is not served must continue to operate outdoors.

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Planned power outages start in Santa Clara and San Mateo counties

Planned power outages start in Santa Clara and San Mateo counties

This is the perspective being pushed in Palo Alto: There’s no mention of climate change as even a potential cause of drier forests, only a “lack of forest mismanagement.”
From at ""san mateo" " - Google News
Forests are dryer than they were in previous decades because a lack of forest management has resulted in more vegetation growing unchecked, which competes for the same amount of underground water. Also, dead vegetation is no longer removed from forests, providing additional fuel for wildfires.
Forests are dryer than they were in previous decades because a lack of forest management has resulted in more vegetation growing unchecked, which competes for the same amount of underground water. Also, dead vegetation is no longer removed from forests, providing additional fuel for wildfires.

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Bay Area's new growth plan eyes massive housing influx in Silicon Valley

Bay Area's new growth plan eyes massive housing influx in Silicon Valley

Peninsula communities ready to find against new CA housing mandates. This article is purpotedly 'news' and cleary is an expressing an anti-housing sentiment.
From at ""san mateo" affordable housing" - Google News
Sometime in early 2021, city planners throughout the Bay Area will receive a daunting assignment: a mandate to accommodate their cities' "fair share" of the region's projected housing growth.Each of the 101 cities and nine counties that make up the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) will receive a portion of the 441,176 housing units that the California Department of Housing and Community Development has assigned to the Bay Area for the next cycle of the Regional Housing Needs Allocation (RHNA), which will run from 2023 to 2031. The state agency had also determined that 114,442 of these units — or 25.9% of the total — should be designated for those in the "very low" income category.
At the same time, council members and planners recognize that the RHNA, which was once relatively easy to ignore, is starting to grow some teeth. Under Senate Bill 35, cities that fall well short of their targets in particular income categories will lose some of their power to say no to new developments in these categories. The 2017 law creates a streamlined approval process in these communities, requiring approval of housing developments within either 60 days or 90 days, depending on the number of units. In addition, these developments would be allowed to dedicate 10% of their units to below-market-rate housing, below the city's normal standard of 15%.During an Oct. 5 discussion of the city's newly created "planned housing zone," Lait told the council that the city has an interest in meeting the SB 35 thresholds to "maintain local control." Otherwise, housing developments would be approved by right, with no design review and, in some instances, with substantial breaks on parking, Lait said.

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Admiration but inaction for Burlingame development | Local News

Admiration but inaction for Burlingame development | Local News

More NIMBYism on the peninsula. Jobs and people are already here. Build more housing
From at ""san mateo" affordable housing" - Google News
In recognition of those concerns, City Attorney Kathleen Kane said officials will review the city’s code to identify mechanisms available to enforce potential violations of the plan designed to mitigate neighborhood traffic and parking problems.Councilmembers agreed to postpone a decision on the project until a later meeting, when officials can clarify the potential enforcement outlets.Plans call for spreading the 60 residential units across the top two floors of the project, above four floors of office space and a lobby at the ground floor. The project is slated to offer 385 parking spaces in an underground parking lot plus about 18,000 square feet of open space. There will be three affordable units reserved for low-income tenants.
Observing the size and scope of the project, Councilman Michael Brownrigg expressed his dissatisfaction with the public amenities offered in return for allowing greater density and height.“I have deep concerns with the rules that allow the project to come to us in this state,” said Brownrigg.The public benefits offered in the project — the three affordable units and a public plaza — are not equivalent to the value for the city that developer Mario Muzzi received in roughly two additional two stories of development, said Brownrigg.

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Extreme Wind Event Arrives Early Next Week With Even Greater Potential Fire Danger, More PSPS Likely

Extreme Wind Event Arrives Early Next Week With Even Greater Potential Fire Danger, More PSPS Likely

From Jay Barmann at SFist - San Francisco News, Restaurants, Events, & Sports
"This is the fire weather forecast I was hoping wouldn't come to pass, given all that has already transpired in 2020," says climate scientist Daniel Swain on Twitter. "This will likely be strongest & most widespread offshore wind event of season, [and] is reminiscent of extreme events in 2019 & 2017. Hardest-hit areas appear to be west slopes of Sierra Nevada (gusts of 70+mph) & SF Bay Area (widespread gusts 40-50mph; higher in hills)."
"This is the fire weather forecast I was hoping wouldn't come to pass, given all that has already transpired in 2020," says climate scientist Daniel Swain on Twitter. "This will likely be strongest & most widespread offshore wind event of season, [and] is reminiscent of extreme events in 2019 & 2017. Hardest-hit areas appear to be west slopes of Sierra Nevada (gusts of 70+mph) & SF Bay Area (widespread gusts 40-50mph; higher in hills)."

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Housing plan targeting Bay Area

Housing plan targeting Bay Area

From By Austin Walsh Daily Journal staff at www.smdailyjournal.com - RSS Results in news/local of type article
A new regional plan could mandate the Bay Area to build 441,000 new housing units — a sizable portion of which are assigned near the Peninsula’s job centers, raising the eyebrows of local officials.The Association of Bay Area Governments will consider Thursday, Oct. 15, a Regional Housing Needs Allocation methodology aiming to determine where new homes should be constructed over the next eight years. The proposed calculation effectively triples the county’s previous allocation from about 16,000 units to 48,000 units.
Noting that housing development has lagged significantly behind the region’s economic growth, a spokesman for the regional organization said the new housing numbers are a product of an effort to make the Bay Area a more affordable, desirable and equitable place to live.“The Bay Area has not built housing to keep up with these increased employment numbers. In real life this has meant high housing costs. Both ownership and rental,” said Randy Rentschler, a spokesman for ABAG, in an email. “With respect to this RHNA cycle and recent changes in state law, the housing allocations numbers from [California Department of Housing and Community Development] are, in part, a reflection of that.”The state housing department ultimately requires the housing to be constructed, and the regional board breaks down allocations for communities throughout the Bay Area. The ABAG board is comprised of officials representing jurisdictions throughout the Bay Area and its San Mateo County representatives are county supervisors David Canepa and Dave Pine, South San Francisco Mayor Rich Garbarino and Millbrae Councilman Wayne Lee.

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Two kinds of momentum

Two kinds of momentum

From Seth Godin at Seth's Blog
When we’re not committed yet, the cost of looking around and switching our choice is small. But once we’ve emotionally committed to a cause or a project or a person, the cost of change is high, partly because it involves feeling as though we made a mistake.
But compounding that initial choice by doubling down on it is the actual mistake. Digging a deeper hole rarely gets us to the other side.

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The End of the Islamic Republic of Iran?

The End of the Islamic Republic of Iran?

From Shay Khatiri at Quillette
The Islamic Republic has been the source of much evil in the Middle East. But for the first time in its history, it finds itself opposed by a coalition of the United States, Israel, the Arab countries, and its own people. By supporting democratic actors and anti-regime elements, this alliance can force the Islamic Republic to direct its resources to domestic security and in effect self-contain, while the bloc of anti-regime states provides external containment. Beset by internal unrest and economic strife, overextended in its costly foreign entanglements, and facing unprecedented unity from its external foes, the Islamic Republic has never looked more vulnerable. An end to the Revolutionary theocracy and the misery it has inflicted on its own people and the region since 1979 may finally be in sight.
The good news is that the desire to see the back of the Islamic regime has never been stronger inside Iran, and outside it, Arab states are aligning co-operatively with Israel against the regional Iranian threat. Before the pandemic, protests were more common in Iran than ever, and the regime’s mishandling of the COVID-19 crisis has made it even more unpopular. An IRGC intelligence officer who defected reports that the regime’s popularity is in single digits among Iranians, which—if true—points to a complete collapse in its popular legitimacy even among its traditional base. Demographics are working against the regime, as well. Declining birth rates indicate a concomitant decline in religion, which is bad news for a theocracy.

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Is China the Governance of the Future?

Is China the Governance of the Future?

From John Lloyd at Quillette
This cannot all be put at the door of Trump. In his forthcoming book The Upswing, the Harvard political scientist Robert Putnam argues that Americans have lurched too far from “earlier communitarian values” in favour of individualism. He quotes the philosopher Danielle Allen: We think we are required to choose between freedom and equality. Our choice in recent years has tipped towards freedom. Under the general influence of libertarianism, both parties have abandoned our Declaration; they have scorned our patrimony. Such a choice is dangerous. If we abandon equality, we lose the single bond that makes us a community, that makes us a people with the capacity to be free collectively and individually in the first place.
Taiwan, the democratic breakaway from China, is now under growing pressure, as Chinese military jets routinely overfly its airspace. “China is completely open about the threat. President Xi Jinping framed it himself in a high-profile speech in 2019: ‘We do not promise to renounce the use of force and reserve the option to use all necessary measures.’” If it succeeds in taking the lead from the West in the coming decades, the Chinese Communist Party will rise to global power as a tyranny with no recognition of human rights or toleration for a civil society independent of Party and state. Its success would be a turn not towards efficiency, but to a particular kind of high-tech barbarism, in which dissent is routinely silenced and ethnic and religious differences ironed out. To ignore it—worse, to succumb to it in the name of efficiency—would be to destroy democratic civilisation

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Dr. Fauci: Earliest We’ll Be “Back to Normal” Is the End of 2021

Dr. Fauci: Earliest We’ll Be “Back to Normal” Is the End of 2021

Vaccines are in production and will be available next year
From Jason Kottke at kottke.org
With a very effective vaccine ready in Nov/Dec, distributed widely, and if lots of people take it (i.e. the best case scenario), the earliest we could return to “normal life” in the world is the end of 2021.
Leaving aside what “normal” might mean and who it actually applies to,1 there’s some good news and bad news in there. The good news is, they’re already producing doses of the vaccine to be ready if and when the phase 3 trials are successful. Ramping up production before the trials conclude isn’t usually done because it’s a waste of money if the trials fail, but these vaccines are so critical to saving lives that they’re spending that money to save time. That’s great news.

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Business Books and Podcasts

Business Books and Podcasts

From Fred Wilson at AVC
But there are some great concepts that one can glean from business books and I’ve often wanted to find an efficient way to do that without buying the book and reading one chapter. Podcasts to the rescue. Most business book writers go on a podcast tour in order to promote their book. All you need to do is find your favorite interviewer on the podcast tour and listen to that one. That’s generally thirty to forty-five minutes and you will get everything you need from the book and maybe more.
But there are some great concepts that one can glean from business books and I’ve often wanted to find an efficient way to do that without buying the book and reading one chapter. Podcasts to the rescue. Most business book writers go on a podcast tour in order to promote their book. All you need to do is find your favorite interviewer on the podcast tour and listen to that one. That’s generally thirty to forty-five minutes and you will get everything you need from the book and maybe more.

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Fell on Black Days

Fell on Black Days

From Ben Hunt at Epsilon Theory
He said that the song is about waking up one morning and realizing with a start that your life and the world in general are … off. Not just a little off, but way, way waaaay off. And not because of some huge traumatic event. Not because you got really sick or you got fired or a meteor hit the Earth, but because of a thousand little events, each regrettable and yet oddly unremarkable in itself, each building on the others, each lost in the noise of the others, each noted with a sigh and then promptly forgotten. It’s the realization that you are the frog now sitting in boiling water, that you are the one suffering a death by a thousand cuts. It’s the realization that you’re not as happy as you used to be, that you’re not as secure as you used to be, that you’re not as healthy as you used to be. And it all just … happened. It all just snuck up on you unawares, like you were asleep or something.
We need quantum change – meaning we must have change in the rules of the system, meaning that we must have change in the state of the system – because once you fall into the stable equilibrium of our Black Days, it is impossible for incremental change or adjustment to get you out. Not just difficult. Impossible. That’s what an equilibrium means. We cannot just open a door that has been welded shut. We must blow the door open.

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The President Is a White Supremacist. And So Are You if You Support Him.

The President Is a White Supremacist. And So Are You if You Support Him.

From Jason Kottke at kottke.org
Last night in a debate with Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, Donald Trump, the actual President of these United States, not only declined to condemn white supremacy, he gave an order to an openly white supremacist group on national television.
I understand the perfect candidate doesn’t exist and that our system of voting requires us to compromise some of our values in order to support progress towards bigger goals, but good luck explaining that you voted for an actual white supremacist to your grandchildren someday (if you can stomach telling them the truth). Some values cannot be compromised.

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Measure RR seeks to save, grow Caltrain in San Mateo, San Francisco and Santa Clara counties

Measure RR seeks to save, grow Caltrain in San Mateo, San Francisco and Santa Clara counties

From By Zachary Clark Daily Journal staff at www.smdailyjournal.com - RSS Results in news/local of type article
Without Caltrain, residents can expect traffic congestion to be worse than it was before the pandemic, proponents of the measure argue.“Voting yes on RR will remove thousands of cars from our highways every day,” reads the official ballot argument against the measure. “Without Caltrain, traffic congestion will soon be worse than before COVID-19.”
Without Caltrain, residents can expect traffic congestion to be worse than it was before the pandemic, proponents of the measure argue.“Voting yes on RR will remove thousands of cars from our highways every day,” reads the official ballot argument against the measure. “Without Caltrain, traffic congestion will soon be worse than before COVID-19.”

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State: Nantucket schools can't resume in-class learning for all students Oct. 1

State: Nantucket schools can't resume in-class learning for all students Oct. 1

From at "nantucket covid" - Google News
Most Nantucket public-school students will continue remote learning until at least Oct. 19, after the state education commissioner determined the island’s coronavirus numbers are too high for a return to class this Thursday, schools superintendent Beth Hallett said Tuesday night.
Half of the twice-a-week students will be allowed to return to school Oct. 19 and the other half Oct. 22, as long as Nantucket has fallen from a red coronavirus designation to yellow or lower, Hallett said. Red districts indicate communities with an average daily coronavirus positivity rate of eight or more cases per 100,000 people over a two-week period.

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The Unsettling Normalcy of Societal Collapse

The Unsettling Normalcy of Societal Collapse

From Jason Kottke at kottke.org
If you’re trying to carry on while people around you die, your society is not collapsing. It’s already fallen down.
If you’re trying to carry on while people around you die, your society is not collapsing. It’s already fallen down.

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Schools prep for reopening in San Mateo County

Schools prep for reopening in San Mateo County

From By Austin Walsh Daily Journal staff at www.smdailyjournal.com - RSS Results in news/local of type article
Three public schools districts — Hillsborough City, Menlo Park and Las Lomitas — all recently received waivers from education and health agencies to begin in-person learning. The school systems join 27 private schools and one public school, Connect Community Charter in Redwood City, among those with waiver approvals.
Three public schools districts — Hillsborough City, Menlo Park and Las Lomitas — all recently received waivers from education and health agencies to begin in-person learning. The school systems join 27 private schools and one public school, Connect Community Charter in Redwood City, among those with waiver approvals.

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Wildfires Return to Areas of Wine Country Burned in 2017; Evacuation Orders Hit Santa Rosa, Kenwood, Glen Ellen

Wildfires Return to Areas of Wine Country Burned in 2017; Evacuation Orders Hit Santa Rosa, Kenwood, Glen Ellen

From Jay Barmann at SFist - San Francisco News, Restaurants, Events, & Sports
Parts of Santa Rosa that either burned or were in view of the burning three years ago were under mandatory evacuation orders Sunday night as more fast-moving fire spread into Sonoma County from Napa earlier in the evening. And more homes in Santa Rosa were burning once again.
Fire was also once again threatening the area of Paradise in Butte County, and meteorologist Daniel Swain reported on the painful coincidence that the areas of both the 2017 Tubbs Fire and the 2018 Camp Fire were under evacuation orders once again.This is extremely hard to say, but within past hour Butte County & Sonoma County officials have both issued nighttime emergency evacuation orders for some of the same areas previous burned by the Tubbs Fire in 2017 & Camp Fire in 2018. Please be vigilant tonight. #CAwx #CAfire

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Drop in San Francisco Rents Has Accelerated

Drop in San Francisco Rents Has Accelerated

From SocketSite at SocketSite™
Having slipped under $3,600 in August, the weighted average asking rent for an apartment in San Francisco has just dropped to under $3,400 a month, which is down nearly 6 percent over the past month, down over 20 percent on a year-over-year basis and nearly 25 percent below a 2015-era peak, driven by a sharp increase in vacancy rates (which had briefly waned earlier this month but has since started ticking back up).
Having slipped under $3,600 in August, the weighted average asking rent for an apartment in San Francisco has just dropped to under $3,400 a month, which is down nearly 6 percent over the past month, down over 20 percent on a year-over-year basis and nearly 25 percent below a 2015-era peak, driven by a sharp increase in vacancy rates (which had briefly waned earlier this month but has since started ticking back up).

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One killed, two injured by large branch falling in Washington Park

One killed, two injured by large branch falling in Washington Park

From Bay City News Service at www.smdailyjournal.com - RSS Results in news/local of type article
One person was killed and two others seriously injured Saturday when a large tree limb broke off from a tree in Washington Park in Burlingame, according to a message posted on the Burlingame City Hall Facebook page.The person killed, a San Mateo resident, was hit by the 60-foot tree limb while picnicking at the park, off of Burlingame and Carolan Avenues east of downtown.
One person was killed and two others seriously injured Saturday when a large tree limb broke off from a tree in Washington Park in Burlingame, according to a message posted on the Burlingame City Hall Facebook page.The person killed, a San Mateo resident, was hit by the 60-foot tree limb while picnicking at the park, off of Burlingame and Carolan Avenues east of downtown.

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Glass Fire Merges With Sonoma Fire, Burns 11,000 Acres and Prompts Mass Evacuation

Glass Fire Merges With Sonoma Fire, Burns 11,000 Acres and Prompts Mass Evacuation

From Jay Barmann at SFist - San Francisco News, Restaurants, Events, & Sports
The Glass Fire grew at least fourfold overnight as it merged with two other fires that it may have sparked — the Shady Fire and the Boysen Fire — and gusty offshore winds continue to help it grow to the south and west.
The Glass Fire began around 4 a.m. Sunday in an area east of Highway 29 and north of St. Helena. Evacuations proceeded throughout the day in Napa County, and evacuation orders for areas of Sonoma County did not arrive until evening on Sunday as the two spot fires south and west of the Glass Fire began growing rapidly and tearing over the ridge between the counties. The combined fires have burned 11,000 acres as of Monday morning

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Universal Access and Choice

Universal Access and Choice

From Fred Wilson at AVC
Often society’s answer to providing universal access is to grant a monopoly. Look at cable services in the US. We granted local franchise monopolies in return for a commitment to build out the market and serve everyone. Look at our K12 system in the US. Everyone can go to school for free but you have to go to the school in your town, even if it’s much worse than the school in the next town. Look at Medicare in the US. Everyone over 65 can get Medicare. But everyone gets the same coverage even if they have vastly different medical needs.
These efforts are all great successes. They have provided needed services to the vast majority of society. But they are monopolies. To see them any other way is wrong

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Why Am I Reading This Now?

Why Am I Reading This Now?

From Ben Hunt at Epsilon Theory
But if you’re still a human being … if you’re still able to hold two independent thoughts in your head at the same time … if you’re still able to believe that yes, China’s treatment of the Uyghurs is a grotesque evil deserving of implacable sanction and resistance AND yes, The Three Body Problem is an important work of art … then my answer is no.
But I don’t think that the five GOP Senators who sent this letter to Netflix are well-meaning.I don’t think these Senators care very much about this book adaptation and the indirect-at-best “normalization” of abhorrent political views held by the author of the source material. I don’t think that this letter was written out of a deep and abiding concern with the horrific treatment of the Uyghurs, because if that were true a letter to Mary Barra at General Motors might be just a wee bit more relevant and impactful.

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A Vitamin D Bet

A Vitamin D Bet

From Alex Tabarrok at Marginal Revolution
Indeed, an Israeli company, RootClaim, which combines crowdfunding of data with Bayesian algorithms to improve decision making (yeah, some reasons for skepticism here) has offered to bet anyone $100,000 (I think at 1:1 odds) that Vitamin D works against COVID. The precise bet is as follows: Rootclaim is willing to bet $100,000 that vitamin D is effective in reducing the severity of Covid-19.
Indeed, an Israeli company, RootClaim, which combines crowdfunding of data with Bayesian algorithms to improve decision making (yeah, some reasons for skepticism here) has offered to bet anyone $100,000 (I think at 1:1 odds) that Vitamin D works against COVID. The precise bet is as follows: Rootclaim is willing to bet $100,000 that vitamin D is effective in reducing the severity of Covid-19.

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United Airlines to offer Covid-19 tests for passengers flying from San Francisco to Hawaii

United Airlines to offer Covid-19 tests for passengers flying from San Francisco to Hawaii

From By Ben Miller  – Staff Reporter, Sep 24, 2020, 7:21am PDT Updated 12 hours ago at San Francisco Business Times

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Three Major Bay Wildfires Now At or Near Full Containment, Five and a Half Weeks Later

Three Major Bay Wildfires Now At or Near Full Containment, Five and a Half Weeks Later

From Jay Barmann at SFist - San Francisco News, Restaurants, Events, & Sports
The destructive CZU Lightning Complex fire in Santa Cruz and San Mateo counties was declared fully, 100-percent contained on Wednesday, five and a half weeks after it was sparked and 86,000 scorched acres later. The larger SCU and LNU complexes to the east and north are both 98-percent contained, and will hopefully be fully contained before some possible winds kick up this weekend.
Similarly high winds are due to hit Northern California this Saturday, September 26, which could spell disaster in any number of areas where fires are still burning or smoldering, including within the perimeter of the August Complex Fire to the north. That fire, now the largest in state history at 860,000 acres, is only 39-percent contained as of Wednesday, and spans four counties (Mendocino, Humboldt, Del Norte, and Trinity). It's burning in very remote, undeveloped terrain, and therefore despite its size it has only destroyed 51 structures to date.

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County moves out of most restrictive tier

County moves out of most restrictive tier

From Daily Journal staff report at www.smdailyjournal.com - RSS Results in news/local of type article
After remaining in the purple tier for three weeks, the county maintained having fewer than seven new daily cases per 100,000 residents and maintained a positive test rate below 8% for two weeks. Currently, the county has 6.8 new cases for every 100,000 residents and a positivity rate of 4.5%, according to the state’s Blueprint for a Safer Economy COVID-19 dashboard.
After remaining in the purple tier for three weeks, the county maintained having fewer than seven new daily cases per 100,000 residents and maintained a positive test rate below 8% for two weeks. Currently, the county has 6.8 new cases for every 100,000 residents and a positivity rate of 4.5%, according to the state’s Blueprint for a Safer Economy COVID-19 dashboard.

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Now go do the same with all the cops that have links to white supremacist organizations #DefundThePolice https://t.co/H16heGajUf

Now go do the same with all the cops that have links to white supremacist organizations #DefundThePolice https://t.co/H16heGajUf

A simple background check would have helped...
From Chicago DSA 🌹 (@ChicagoCityDSA) at ("police violence" OR "defundthepolice" ) min_faves:10 lang:en min_replies:2 min_retweets:2 Twitter Alert with Links
Prosecutors say Angwang falsely obtained U.S. citizenship by claiming asylum, stating that he had been arrested and tortured in China due partly to his Tibetan ethnicity.“Yet, despite alleging torture and persecution at the hands of PRC security officials, the government’s investigation has revealed that Angwang has traveled back to the PRC on numerous occasion since his asylum application was granted,” the memo says.“These are not the actions of an individual who fears torture or persecution at the hands of the PRC, thus showing that his U.S. citizenship was secured through false pretenses.”
Prosecutors say Angwang falsely obtained U.S. citizenship by claiming asylum, stating that he had been arrested and tortured in China due partly to his Tibetan ethnicity.“Yet, despite alleging torture and persecution at the hands of PRC security officials, the government’s investigation has revealed that Angwang has traveled back to the PRC on numerous occasion since his asylum application was granted,” the memo says.“These are not the actions of an individual who fears torture or persecution at the hands of the PRC, thus showing that his U.S. citizenship was secured through false pretenses.”

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RT @JBallingIM: No new #coronavirus cases reported on #Nantucket Monday: https://t.co/l8OUSemXJc https://t.co/mDSUf8GF2F

RT @JBallingIM: No new #coronavirus cases reported on #Nantucket Monday: https://t.co/l8OUSemXJc https://t.co/mDSUf8GF2F

Is this written by a poorly constructed bot?
From Joshua Balling (@JBallingIM) at @InkyM Tweets
It met again Thursday, but imposed no new orders. 
(Sept. 21, 2020) No new coronavirus cases were reported on Nantucket Monday, and just four since Thursday. There have now been 42 confirmed cases on Nantucket in the last 12 days, with the bulk occurring between Sept. 9-16, and 105 since mid-March.

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Rash of Home Burglaries Rattles North Beach, Other SF Neighborhoods

Rash of Home Burglaries Rattles North Beach, Other SF Neighborhoods

From Jay Barmann at SFist - San Francisco News, Restaurants, Events, & Sports
Burglaries are up nearly 80 percent in the Mission District and nearly 60 percent in the Northern district (North Beach, Marina, Cow Hollow, Pac Heights), according to the San Francisco Police Department, and burglaries are up 42 percent overall, citywide. As KPIX reports, police say they're getting an increasing number of reports of burglaries being committed through garage doors — and North Beach resident Ginny Fang tells the station, "You take a walk down the neighborhood and you see so many holes just punched into garages."
There's also been an ongoing uptick in auto thefts in SF — a trend that has been echoed in other major cities around the U.S. as more people leave cars on the street for days and weeks on end. As of June, auto thefts were up 28 percent in SF compared to the same March-June period last year. Similar dramatic jumps in motor vehicle thefts have been reported in Denver, Los Angeles, Philadelphia, and Austin.Fang notes that the whole North Beach neighborhood is on edge now with the burglaries, and not enjoying feeling unsafe while they're still mostly stuck at home. "It’s so hard, the destabilizing feeling," she tells KPIX, "and there’s already so much happening in the world and even the basic sanctity of your home."

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How California Became Ground Zero for Climate Disasters

How California Became Ground Zero for Climate Disasters

From Christopher Flavelle at NYT > Science
The same manufactured landscapes that have enabled California’s tremendous growth, building the state into a $3 trillion economy that is home to one in 10 Americans, have also left it more exposed to climate shocks, experts say.
Still, the manufactured systems that support the state’s population and economy have left the state especially vulnerable. The wildfires are only the latest example of how climate change can cause engineered landscapes to go awry. Those blazes are partly the result of hotter temperatures and drier conditions, scientists say, which have made it easier for vegetation to ignite, causing fires to become bigger and more intense.But the intensity of those fires also reflects decades of policy decisions that altered those forests, according to Robert Bonnie, who oversaw the United States Forest Service under President Barack Obama. And the cost of those decisions is now coming due.In an effort to protect homes and encourage new building, governments for decades focused on suppressing fires that occurred naturally, allowing the buildup of vegetation that would provide fuel for future blazes. Even after the drawbacks of that approach became clear, officials remained reluctant to reduce that vegetation through prescribed burns, wary of upsetting residents with smoke or starting a fire that might burn out of control.That approach made California’s forests more comfortable for the estimated 11 million people who now live in and around them. But it has also made them more susceptible to catastrophic fires. “We’ve sort of built up this fire debt,” Mr. Bonnie said. “People are going to have to tolerate smoke and risk.”

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Bay Area Employment Still Down by 400K, Labor Force Dropping

Bay Area Employment Still Down by 400K, Labor Force Dropping

Bay Area unemployment down 400k from a year ago
From SocketSite at SocketSite™
And while net employment increased by 43,400 across the Bay Area last month, total employment (3,683,300) is still down by over 400,000 on a year-over-year basis and the labor force actually dropped by 49,300 last month to 4,029,900, which is now down by 173,300 on a year-over-year basis, for an unemployment rate of 8.6 percent.
And while net employment increased by 43,400 across the Bay Area last month, total employment (3,683,300) is still down by over 400,000 on a year-over-year basis and the labor force actually dropped by 49,300 last month to 4,029,900, which is now down by 173,300 on a year-over-year basis, for an unemployment rate of 8.6 percent.

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Air Quality Will Not Hold As Temperatures Rise With High-Pressure System This Weekend

Air Quality Will Not Hold As Temperatures Rise With High-Pressure System This Weekend

Bay Area air quality expected to decline again by Sunday
From Jay Barmann at SFist - San Francisco News, Restaurants, Events, & Sports
Air quality in San Francisco and the Bay Area is predicted to slide into potentially unhealthy territory by Sunday, as an area of high pressure puts an end to the nice marine breeze we've been having for a couple of days that's pushed wildfire smoke away to the north and east.
Air quality in San Francisco and the Bay Area is predicted to slide into potentially unhealthy territory by Sunday, as an area of high pressure puts an end to the nice marine breeze we've been having for a couple of days that's pushed wildfire smoke away to the north and east.

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Increasingly extreme autumn wildfire conditions in California due to climate change

Increasingly extreme autumn wildfire conditions in California due to climate change

fire problems will worsen in California in coming years due to climate change
From Daniel Swain at Weather West
As it turns out, the short answer is…yes: we found that climate change has already more than doubled the frequency of extreme autumn wildfire conditions in California over the past ~40 years. This finding is based on observed changes in the frequency of occurrence of autumn days exceeding the 95th percentile of the historical Fire Weather Index (FWI). The FWI gives a quantitative estimate of the severity of wildfire risk using a multivariate suite of meteorological data (including temperature, humidity, wind speed, solar radiation, and vegetation “fuel moisture” (which itself incorporates antecedent weather/climate information)). Overall, mean September-November FWI in California increased by about 20% between 1980 and 2018—a trend that was distributed fairly uniformly across the state, including both coastal and interior regions in the north and south. We further found that the occurrence of extreme FWI days was strongly associated with days on which large wildfires occurred—strengthening the link between increasing FWI and the severity of actual fire conditions on the ground.
Much can also be done to improve the resilience of communities as well as individual structures to wildfire hazards. While the oft-promoted notion of “defensible space” is a good place to start, recent evidence suggests that other interventions are even more effective—including fire-resilient building materials and methods. At larger scales, communities can be designed to better resist fire (by incorporating greenbelts or fuel-reduction corridors, for example). Improved evacuation planning and communications infrastructure can make worst-case scenario firestorms less deadly by making it easier to leave affected areas in a safe and timely manner. And there has also been progress toward reducing high-risk wildfire ignitions during extreme wind events—via “Public Safety Power Shut-Offs” by electrical utilities—although such interventions remain highly disruptive, societally inequitable, and probably unsustainable in the long run due to our warming climate.

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Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in August

Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in August

From Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk
Local realtor/MLS data suggest that the median US existing single-family home sales price last month was up by a steamy 11.6% from last August, partly boosted by the mix of home sales but mainly boosted by the lack of available inventory across much of the country combined with strong demand for SF detached homes.
Given both the sales and inventory numbers, it’s perhaps not shocking that there has been a rapid acceleration in home prices over the past few months – to the point that one can at least say the single-family housing market has become “frothy,” and perhaps even become a little “bubbly.”

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Home Prices Rose 11% in August—Biggest Gain in Over 6 Years

Home Prices Rose 11% in August—Biggest Gain in Over 6 Years

SF real estate listings up 75%, sales down 13%
From Tim Ellis at Redfin | Real Estate Tips for Home Buying, Selling & More
Only two of the 85 largest metros tracked by Redfin posted a year-over-year increase in the count of seasonally-adjusted active listings of homes for sale: San Francisco (+75%) and New York City (+10%). The sudden expansion of work-from-home policies due to the pandemic has led many people to flee these cities, two of the country’s most expensive housing markets.
San Francisco had the highest increase in the number of homes for sale, up 75% year over year, followed by New York (10%).

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Climate Change Will Force a New American Migration

Climate Change Will Force a New American Migration

Climate change will push populations north
From Abrahm Lustgarten,Meridith Kohut at ProPublica
Once you accept that climate change is fast making large parts of the United States nearly uninhabitable, the future looks like this: With time, the bottom half of the country grows inhospitable, dangerous and hot. Something like a tenth of the people who live in the South and the Southwest — from South Carolina to Alabama to Texas to Southern California — decide to move north in search of a better economy and a more temperate environment. Those who stay behind are disproportionately poor and elderly.
The millions of people moving north will mostly head to the cities of the Northeast and Northwest, which will see their populations grow by roughly 10%, according to one model. Once-chilly places like Minnesota and Michigan and Vermont will become more temperate, verdant and inviting. Vast regions will prosper; just as Hsiang’s research forecast that Southern counties could see a tenth of their economy dry up, he projects that others as far as North Dakota and Minnesota will enjoy a corresponding expansion. Cities like Detroit; Rochester, New York; Buffalo and Milwaukee will see a renaissance, with their excess capacity in infrastructure, water supplies and highways once again put to good use. One day, it’s possible that a high-speed rail line could race across the Dakotas, through Idaho’s up-and-coming wine country and the country’s new breadbasket along the Canadian border, to the megalopolis of Seattle, which by then has nearly merged with Vancouver to its north.

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No interscholastic Nantucket sports this fall - News

No interscholastic Nantucket sports this fall - News

Cape schools don’t want want to take ferry to islands this year
From at "nantucket covid" - Google News
There was also an issue with other Cape & Islands League schools feeling uncomfortable traveling by ferry to schools on Nantucket and Martha’s Vineyard. Maury said both Barnstable High School and Nauset High School had an administrative directive that would prevent them from traveling to either island school for sports. 
The earliest that we can potentially get our numbers down low enough to clear the red classification would be the report date of Sept 30,” he said. “If we were to clear the red classification on this date, given the required number of practices needed prior to any game play (14), the earliest that we would be eligible for any game competition would be Saturday, Oct 17.” 

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High schools: Marthas Vineyard, Nantucket go intramural for the fall

High schools: Marthas Vineyard, Nantucket go intramural for the fall

Nantucket schools cancels all fall inter scholastic sports
From at "nantucket covid" - Google News
“Much as I would like to, and have worked to, give our kids an opportunity to get back on the athletic fields for interscholastic play this fall, I do not feel that playing at an interscholastic level is the right decision for our student-athletes and/or that it is fair to all of the other league member schools to ask for Nantucket to remain on any of the 2020 fall game schedules,” Maury said in a statement announced via social media. ”The best decision regarding our NPS fall athletic teams is to pull all of our teams out of any interscholastic play for the 2020 fall season and focus on developing an on-island intramural-based approach for this year's NPS fall athletic teams.”
Nantucket’s decision came following the latest DPH update, which classified Nantucket as a “red” zone, with more than eight reported cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 population over the past two weeks. Schools in red zones can compete only at the intramural level, athletic director Chris Maury said, leading to an intramural Whalers season tentatively scheduled to begin Oct. 1.

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Bay Area Air Quality Clears As Smoky Air Blows Into Nevada and Tahoe

Bay Area Air Quality Clears As Smoky Air Blows Into Nevada and Tahoe

From Jay Barmann at SFist - San Francisco News, Restaurants, Events, & Sports
As of Tuesday, there were reports of the wildfire smoke from Washington, Oregon, and California reaching New York, and as of Wednesday, we can clearly see from air quality maps that the "purple" air has headed off to Lake Tahoe, Nevada and points east, while most of the Bay Area has lovely "blue" or "green" "good" air now.
Bad for Tahoe, where there are currently AQI readings in the 300s and 400s, but good for us.

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CZU Lightning Complex containment reaches 95%

CZU Lightning Complex containment reaches 95%

From at www.smdailyjournal.com - RSS Results in news/local of type article
One civilian has been killed and one other injured in these fires, in which almost 1,500 structures have been destroyed, including 928 residences and 171 commercial structures. An additional 90 residences and 16 commercial structures have been damaged.
The CZU Lightning Complex wildfires, which have burned 86,509 acres across San Mateo and Santa Cruz counties since Aug. 16, were 95% contained as of Wednesday evening, Cal Fire said.

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RT @JBallingIM: Six new #coronavirus cases repoted on #Nantucket Wednesday, raising island total to 101: https://t.co/A49onYq7XC

RT @JBallingIM: Six new #coronavirus cases repoted on #Nantucket Wednesday, raising island total to 101: https://t.co/A49onYq7XC

From Joshua Balling (@JBallingIM) at @InkyM Tweets
Six new cases of coronavirus were reported on Nantucket Tuesday, bringing to 101 the total number of positive tests on the island since mid-March. Thirty-eight new cases have been confirmed on the island since last Wednedsay. No COVID-19 positive patients were hospitalized on Nantucket or in mainland facilities as of Tuesday evening, although one was "under investigation for COVID-19" at Nantucket Cottage Hospital.
Six new cases of coronavirus were reported on Nantucket Tuesday, bringing to 101 the total number of positive tests on the island since mid-March. Thirty-eight new cases have been confirmed on the island since last Wednedsay. No COVID-19 positive patients were hospitalized on Nantucket or in mainland facilities as of Tuesday evening, although one was "under investigation for COVID-19" at Nantucket Cottage Hospital.

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Wave of Small Business Evictions on the Horizon

Wave of Small Business Evictions on the Horizon

From SocketSite at SocketSite™
Governed by state law, local governments normally can’t exert control over commercial leases. But having been enabled by an Executive Order issued by Governor Newsom back in March (N-28-20), and then extended in June, San Francisco was able to enact an eviction moratorium for small and medium-sized businesses, effectively defined as businesses with up to $25 million in pro-rated gross receipts in 2019, which have been directly impacted by the pandemic.
But unless Governor Newsom extends the State’s Executive Order, which is set to expire at the end of this month, San Francisco’s commercial eviction moratorium will expire on September 30. And unlike San Francisco’s moratorium on residential evictions, landlords will not be restricted from evicting businesses for past due rents, with a one-month grace period to cure, once the commercial moratorium expires.

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Dave Grohl escalates drum battle with 10-year-old Nandi Bushell

Dave Grohl escalates drum battle with 10-year-old Nandi Bushell

From Andy Baio at Waxy.org
After admitting his child rival had won the first round and promising he had “something special in mind” for a follow-up, Grohl made good on his threat. “Every superhero needs a theme song,” he tweeted to Bushell. “Here’s one for you!”
When last we donned our flak jackets to report from the front lines of Dave Grohl’s ruthless social media war with a 10-year old drummer named Nandi Bushell, he’d taunted her with a challenge to play Them Crooked Vulture’s “Dead End Friends.” Bushell, who’s a very good drummer, obviously had no issue completing the task laid out for her. Last Thursday, she uploaded video of her playing the part and even added onto it by filling out the track with a few of her trademark screams of joy.

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Fire Season Drags On as We Wait for Relief...

Fire Season Drags On as We Wait for Relief...

From California Snow Forecaster Bryan Allegretto at The Tahoe Daily Snow
That map already looks similar to a La Nina pattern, but also an early-season pattern with the jet stream aimed to our north. Things can change fast around here later in October. We will be watching with anticipation for heavy rain and snow that could put a quick end to the fire season, at least for northern CA.
That map already looks similar to a La Nina pattern, but also an early-season pattern with the jet stream aimed to our north. Things can change fast around here later in October. We will be watching with anticipation for heavy rain and snow that could put a quick end to the fire season, at least for northern CA.

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Djokovic, After U.S. Open, Says He Is Working on the Mental Side of Tennis

Djokovic, After U.S. Open, Says He Is Working on the Mental Side of Tennis

From By Ben Rothenberg at Tennis
Djokovic admitted that his disqualification, although somewhat unlucky, was “not completely out of the blue” given his propensity for expressing anger on the court, which has sometimes included being reckless with equipment.
“I’m working mentally and emotionally as hard as I am physically, trying to be the best version of myself on the court, off the court,” Djokovic said Monday from Rome, where he will compete in the Italian Open this week. “I understand that I have outbursts and it’s the personality and kind of player that I have always been.”He added: “Obviously I went through ups and downs in my career, managing to control my emotions more or less. But you’re alone out there, it’s a lot of intensity, a lot of pressure, and you have to deal with all of that.”

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Severe wildfire conditions will continue across California, but pattern shift will improve air quality

Severe wildfire conditions will continue across California, but pattern shift will improve air quality

From Daniel Swain at Weather West
Around 3.5 million acres have burned so far in California in 2020. That’s around 3.5% of the entire land area of the state, and is approaching double the previous record for the greatest acreage burned during a single year in the modern record (~1.9 million acres in 2018)
Then, on top of all of that: the smoke. An extremely large volume of dense, choking smoke has been generated by these numerous extreme large wildfires across California, Oregon, and Washington–leading to “smokestorm” conditions of historic proportions extending all the way from the Mexican to Canadian border (and even farther, at times). Air quality has ranged from “poor” to “extremely hazardous” across California for many consecutive days–making it difficult to even open windows, let alone spend time outside.Even more dramatic, though, was the vertical depth and density of these smoke plumes last week. At one point, multiple fires were generating explosive pyrocumulonimbus (fire thunderstorm) clouds that injected smoke all the way toward the top of the troposphere and even briefly into the stratosphere. The depth of this smoke column–which extended from the surface to nearly 30,000 feet–was sufficient to essentially block out the sun even at midday in some regions, leading to surreal and Bladerunner-esque scenes throughout Northern California. Aside from dramatically altering everyday life, these dense smoke plumes have also radically altered local meteorology–bringing temperatures 10-20 degrees cooler than the ambient airmass would support as solar radiation was largely unable to penetrate the plumes.

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Scientists Detect Signs of Possible Life on Venus

Scientists Detect Signs of Possible Life on Venus

From Jason Kottke at kottke.org
A group of astronomers have announced that they’ve discovered evidence that there may be life in the atmosphere of Venus.
But the finding will also encourage some planetary scientists to ask whether humanity has overlooked a planet that may have once been more Earthlike than any other world in our solar system.

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The Work From Home Backlash is Upon Us

The Work From Home Backlash is Upon Us

From Ben Carlson at A Wealth of Common Sense
The Wall Street Journal reported this week JP Morgan told senior employees of the bank’s giant sales and trading operation that they and their teams must return to the office by Sept. 21.
But there are sure to be many large corporations with the attitude of If you’re making this much money, you better be in the office. People on the high end of the income scale may have the ability to work from home now but I wouldn’t bet on all of them keeping that perk going forward. There will still be plenty of old school firms with the midset of Netflix and JP Morgan on this.

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For Many, No Long-Term Health Impacts from Wildfire Smoke, But More Studies Needed

For Many, No Long-Term Health Impacts from Wildfire Smoke, But More Studies Needed

From By Robin Marks at For Many, No Long-Term Health Impacts from Wildfire Smoke, But More Studies Needed | UC San Francisco

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What do you own?

What do you own?

From Seth Godin at Seth's Blog
If you want to build a career as a freelancer, or a business as an entrepreneur, it helps to own something

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